EBCT detects Obstructive CAD 
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Probabilistic Model for Prediction of Angiographically Defined Obstructive Coronary Artery Disease Using EBCT Calcium Score Strata 

Lawrence F. Bielak, John A. Rumberger, Patrick F. Sheedy,  Robert S. Schwartz, Patricia A. Peyser,  

Circulation 2000 Jul;102(4):380

INTRODUCTION: Electron beam CT (EBCT) is an accurate, noninvasive method to detect and quantify coronary artery calcification, a marker of coronary artery disease (CAD). This investigation examined the accuracy of EBCT to detect obstructive CAD(>50% stenosis) and determined the optimal strata for quantity of coronary artery calcification to facilitate clinical decision-making.

METHOD:  Clinical research patients (n=213) were examined with coronary angiography and EBCT (angiography group), and 765 research participants were examined with only EBCT (nonangiography group).

RESULTS: Of the angiography group, 53% had obstructive CAD. After adjustment for verification bias, the estimated sensitivity and specificity for calcium score >1 were 97.0% and 72.4%, respectively. Likelihood ratios for strata of calcium score associated with obstructive CAD were calculated in each sex and 2 age groups. Among those >50 years old, the same 4 strata of EBCT calcium scores were identified in each sex; likelihood ratios ranged from 0.03 (calcium score 0) to 12.85 (calcium score >200). The same 3 strata of EBCT calcium scores were identified in each sex among those <50 years old; likelihood ratios ranged from 0.13 (calcium score 0) to 190 (calcium score >100).

CONCLUSION: A calcium score >200 among those >50 years old and calcium score >100 among those <50 years old provided strong evidence that patients of either sex had obstructive CAD. A calcium score of 0 provided strong evidence that patients >50 years old did not have obstructive CAD.  

COMMENTS  by Dr Peyser - Prior studies examined the accuracy of EBCT mostly in patients suspected to have heart disease because of chest pain or other symptoms of heart disease and have an estimated specificity of any calcium was less than 50%. This study found the specificity to be about 70%. The researcher assigned subjects into several group based on calcium scores and their age group. Since most people older than 50 have detectable calcium levels in their arteries, it is important that age-specific calcium scores be used to identify people with early signs of heart disease.     The authors recommend that a calcium score of 200 or higher in those aged 50 or older be considered a sign that the patient is very likely to have a partially blocked arteries. Similarly, a score of 100 or higher among anyone younger than 50 should be taken as a sign that further tests should be considered.

 

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